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Exit polls are a valuable tool to help understand primary voters’ demographic profile and political views. The share of Republican primary voters and caucusgoers holding these views about Trump’s fitness for office and the 2020 election varies from state to state, even as the dominant sentiment remains largely the same. Exit poll data this year finds GOP primary voters divided in their desired approach to abortion policy in a post-Roe v. Wade era. Trump has also racked up support among those primary voters who are the most acutely unhappy with the way things are going in the US. Exit polls for the Iowa Republican caucuses and the New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia and California Republican presidential primaries were conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Pool.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, they’d, Joe Biden’s, Nikki Haley, Biden’s, Haley, Trump, , California –, MAGA, Wade, Biden Organizations: CNN —, GOP, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Republican, New Hampshire Republican, Election, Iowa GOP, Voters, Iowa Republican, California Republican, Edison Research, New, South Carolina Republican, North Carolina Republican, Virginia Republican Locations: – Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, California, Super, Iowa, New, California , Virginia
Read previewAs guaranteed basic-income programs get more popular, opposition is also on the rise. Several lawmakers, like Arizona's Gillette, believe that income programs would discourage work and could raise taxes. A recently introduced bill in South Dakota would ban basic-income programs at the state level and prevent municipal governments from creating local programs. AdvertisementDespite opposition, basic-income program participants have seen benefitsPilot income programs have remained divisive with policymakers, but several major cities have seen positive results. In 2020, former Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey pledged $15 million to Mayors for a Guaranteed Income, which helped 25 cities and towns nationwide begin basic-income programs.
Persons: , Dia Broncucia, Justin Searls, John Gillette, Gillette, Arizona's Gillette, Lupe Diaz, Steve Holt, Skyler Wheeler, Sen, John Wiik, Paul Bettencourt, Bettencourt, Harris, I've, Ivanna Neri, Neri, UpTogether, Tony Evers, Austin, Stephanie Hendon, Louis, Jack Dorsey, Mark, Anthony Middleton Organizations: Service, Business, Income, Austin, BI, Republican, Republicans, GOP, Social Security, Iowa GOP, Houston Public Media, Gov, Madison Forward Fund, Madison Locations: Denver, Arizona, Arizona , Iowa, South Dakota , Texas, Wisconsin, Phoenix, Iowa, South Dakota, Texas, Houston, UpTogether, Harris, Madison, Minneapolis , Northern Virginia, Boston, St, Oregon, Durham
CNN —The South Carolina Republican presidential primary is usually the most important contest of the nominating season. Since 1980, the only Republican to win the nomination without winning South Carolina was Mitt Romney in 2012. While Haley is unlikely to take South Carolina, she is definitely outperforming her national baseline. Both counties have relatively high levels of college graduates, who have been most hostile to the former president in GOP primaries historically. Trump winning college graduates in the South Carolina primary would match what we’re seeing in national polling of the Republican electorate.
Persons: Mitt Romney, Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump, Haley, Bernie Sanders ’, Trump, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, didn’t, Will Organizations: CNN, South Carolina Republican, GOP, Republican, South Carolina, Trump, Republicans, Marquette University Law School, Quinnipiac University, South Carolina Republicans, Iowa GOP, Marquette, Quinnipiac, White Locations: Michigan, Florida, South Carolina, Ted Cruz ( Texas, John Kasich ( Ohio, Sanders, Vermont, Charleston, Richland, Columbia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Quinnipiac, Utah, Washington
The problem with this approach is that most Republican voters do not want an alternative to Trump; they overwhelmingly back him. At least that’s what the Nikki Haley campaign said after finishing second to former President Donald Trump in the New Hampshire primaries on Tuesday. Democratic nominee Bill Clinton and third-party candidate Ross Perot exploited that division in the Republican Party against Bush in the fall. The Republican Party is united behind Trump, and with optimal conditions for an opponent like Haley, Trump was still unstoppable. “Democrats deserve options, and it’s not clear at all that President Biden can beat Donald Trump.
Persons: Raul A, Reyes, Nikki Haley’s, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, bode, Reyes CNN Haley, Trump, Haley, , CNN’s Dana Bash, That’s, it’s, Trump …, Nikki, , She’s, Paul Begala, Donald Trump’s, Paul Begala CNN Trump, Joe Biden, Reagan, Bush, Bill Clinton’s, Clinton, Ana Marie Cox, Ana Marie Cox Faith Fonseca, ” Trump, Biden, Jamal Simmons, Biden’s, he’s, Dean Phillips, Jimmy Carter, Edward Kennedy, Kennedy, Carter, Republican Ronald Reagan, George H.W, Pat Buchanan, Bill Clinton, Ross Perot, Eugene McCarthy’s, Lyndon Johnson, Marianne Williamson, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Pramila, Kamala Harris, Daniel McCarthy, John McCain, George W, Ron DeSantis, Biden —, , Rizwan Virk, Williamson, Sanders, Andrew Yang, Dean Philips, Yang, ” Rizwan Virk, Patrick T, Brown, Barack Obama, Dozens, Scott Walker, Jeb Bush, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Cruz, Sophia A, DeSantis, Nelson Stephanie Honikel, Harris, Nelson, Tuesday’s, Phillips ’, Phillips, Arick, Michael Bloomberg Organizations: CNN, GOP, South Carolina Gov, Republican, Reyes CNN, Trump, Independents, Polling, White, USA, Twitter, New, South, Biden, diehard Republicans, New Hampshire, Republican Party, Bush Republicans, NATO, Republicans, Democratic, Minnesota Rep, Hamas, Washington Rep, Former South Carolina Gov, mavericks, New Hampshire Democratic, Florida Gov, The, Syndicate, Democratic Party, Democrat, Labs, MIT, Physics, Eastern, Arizona State University’s College of Global Futures, Wisconsin Gov, Ohio Gov, Public Policy Center, Economic, Florida’s, America, Trump Party, Congressional, UN, Tuesday’s New, Tuesday’s New Hampshire Democratic, Democratic National, Biden –, Medicare, New York Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, America, Granite, Trump, Michigan, New Hampshire , Iowa, Austin, Israel, Vietnam, Granite State . South Carolina, Gaza, Yemen, Ukraine, Vermont, Wisconsin, Florida, Texas, Ohio, New York, Washington , DC, Virginia, Minnesota, Tuesday’s New Hampshire, Hampshire
Trump Dominates Iowa GOP Presidential Caucuses, DeSantis Places SecondFormer President Donald Trump won the Iowa caucuses Monday night with the largest margin in the history of the first Republican presidential nominating contest. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis finished in a distant second place. Photo: Andrew Harnik/Associated Press
Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Andrew Harnik Organizations: Trump, Iowa, Florida Gov, Associated Locations: Iowa
Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy Photo: Elizabeth Frantz for The Wall Street JournalVivek Ramaswamy , a biotech company founder who spent heavily from his own fortune to finance his Republican presidential bid, suspended his campaign in the 2024 primary race Monday after a disappointing finish in the Iowa GOP caucusesHaving failed to sell himself as a next-generation version of former President Donald Trump, Ramaswamy endorsed Trump as he left the contest.
Persons: Vivek Ramaswamy, Elizabeth Frantz, Donald Trump, Ramaswamy, Trump Organizations: Wall, Republican, Iowa GOP Locations: Iowa
Takeaways from the Iowa Republican caucuses
  + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
The former president won the Iowa Republican caucuses by an unprecedented margin, kickstarting his bid to win his party’s third consecutive presidential nomination. He did so despite skipping the GOP primary debates and eschewing the retail politicking grind typically demanded by Hawkeye State voters. Here are six takeaways from the Iowa GOP caucuses:‘Very smart, very capable people’Trump speaks at his caucus night watch party in Des Moines. “I can safely say, tonight, Iowa made this Republican primary a two-person race,” she told supporters. Video Ad Feedback GOP strategist on what Iowa caucuses result reveals about Republican voters 00:50 - Source: CNNTrump remains hard to beatEntrance polls showed the breadth of Trump’s support across the GOP’s key constituencies.
Persons: Donald Trump, it’s, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Haley, ’ Trump, Brian Snyder, Trump, DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, couldn’t, “ It’s, ” Trump, Ramaswamy, It’s, hasn’t, “ We’ve, He’s, , bode, Joe Biden, Biden, Jeenah, “ Trump, Alyssa Pointer, he’d, he’s, DeSantis ’, Grassley ” —, Republican Sen, Chuck Grassley, Kim Reynolds, Bob Vander Plaats, who’d, Pete Buttigieg, Vermont Sen, Bernie Sanders Organizations: CNN, Republican Party, Iowa, Hawkeye State, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Trump, Iowa GOP, Reuters, Republican, CNN Trump, College, Biden, West Des Moines, Nevada GOP, South Carolina, DeSantis, GOP, Des Moines Register, Democratic National Committee Locations: New Hampshire, Iowa, Des Moines, Florida, South Carolina, South Carolina –, West Des Moines, West Des, Nevada, Vermont, demote Iowa
What to Know About the Iowa GOP Presidential Caucuses
  + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( John Mccormick | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Audience members listen as Nikki Haley speaks at an Ankeny, Iowa town hall last November, one of many visits by Republican presidential hopefuls to the state last year. Photo: Charlie Neibergall/Associated PressIowa’s presidential caucuses have for the past five decades awarded the small, mostly white state an oversize sway in the nation’s politics, providing everyday Iowans and the state’s elected leaders with access to powerful politicians, boosting profits for local television stations and helping secure deferential treatment for corn-based ethanol and other segments of its economy. News organizations from around the globe have descended on the state to cover the first-in-the nation event, which former President Donald Trump is heavily favored to win.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Charlie Neibergall, Donald Trump Organizations: Press Locations: Ankeny , Iowa
About an additional 6 in 10 caucusgoers say they want substantial changes. The vast majority of Iowa caucusgoers trust elections in their state, but about 4 in 10 are not too confident or not at all confident in the integrity of U.S. elections. About two-thirds of Iowa caucusgoers favor continuing aid to Israel in its fight against Hamas. ABORTIONViews on abortion are far from simple, but most Iowa GOP caucusgoers say there should be limited access to the procedure. ___For the latest updates on the Iowa caucuses, follow the AP’s live coverage.
Persons: Donald Trump, VoteCast, Trump, GOP caucusgoers, Nikki Haleyis, Haley, Democrat Joe Biden, Haley’s, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis ’, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, TRUMP Organizations: WASHINGTON, Iowa Republicans, Trump, White, AP, The Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, GOP, Republicans, South Carolina Gov, Democrat, Trump . Florida Gov, U.S . Capitol, Iowa GOP, Fox News Locations: U.S, Mexico, United States, Iowa, Florida, Israel, Ukraine, Russia
Launched in 2018, AP VoteCast is a comprehensive survey of both voters and nonvoters that aims to tell the story behind the election results. For example, in the 2020 presidential election, AP VoteCast results showed that white men favored Donald Trump, while women with college degrees favored Joe Biden. Prior to the launch of AP VoteCast in 2018, the AP worked with other major news organizations to conduct Election Day exit polls. AP VoteCast results from the Iowa GOP caucuses will be available Monday night on the AP's caucus results homepage. A detailed description of the methodology used in AP VoteCast is also available.
Persons: Republican caucusgoers, It’s, , Chris Christie, They’re, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Vivek Ramaswamy, they’ve, AP VoteCast Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republican, AP, Associated Press, Fox News, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, New, New Jersey Gov, GOP, Voters, Iowa Republican Locations: Monday’s, Iowa, New Jersey
The final pre-caucus NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll shows Trump ahead of Haley 48%-20%. AdvertisementTrump is in the best position he's ever been in for a contested GOP caucus in Iowa. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz won the Iowa GOP caucuses in 2016. And polling showed that evangelicals comprised roughly 64% of the GOP caucus electorate that year. The former president won first-time GOP caucusgoers in 2016, earning 30% of their vote compared to Cruz's 23% support.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Haley, , Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Charlie Neibergall, Jeb Bush, Cruz, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Bush, Rubio, DeSantis, haven't Organizations: NBC, Des Moines Register, Service, GOP, Florida Gov, Trump, Iowa GOP, AP, Texas, Iowa Locations: Iowa, Florida, Texas
But there is one GOP bloc that had seemingly wavered on Trump but is now back in the former president's corner: college-educated voters. Related storiesWhile a slew of GOP college graduates have indeed drifted in the direction of former UN ambassador Nikki Haley and Florida Gov. And she's set to perform well in the Iowa counties most populated with college graduates, as well as in next week's New Hampshire primary. Advertisement"These are Fox News viewers who are coming back around to him," Iowa GOP operative David Kochel told the newspaper. Among GOP college graduates, that number hit 76% support.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, they've, DeSantis, Trump, Haley, David Kochel, Biden Organizations: Service, Republican, Business, GOP, Florida Gov, Trump, DeSantis, The New York Times, United Nations, Fox News, Iowa GOP, Suffolk University, USA Locations: Iowa, South Carolina, week's, Hampshire, Suffolk
The final poll from Iowa’s premier pollster, Ann Selzer, has Trump at 48% followed by former South Carolina Gov. If the final outcome Monday night mirrors the poll, Trump will have won the highest Iowa GOP caucus vote share for a non-incumbent ever. A Haley win in the first primary race in the nation would indicate that Trump is not invincible. He did more than 5 points better than where his final Iowa poll had him. (His 28-point margin over Bradley was the same as the final poll found, as both Bradley and Gore won some undecided voters.)
Persons: Donald Trump, Ann Selzer, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Trump, , They’re, Haley, Chris Christie –, George W, Bush, didn’t, Steve Forbes, John McCain, Patrick Buchanan, Bob Dole, Buchanan, McCain, Gary Hart, Walter Mondale, Hart, Haley isn’t, DeSantis, Al Gore, Gore, Bill Bradley, Bradley, Trump . Gore, Dole Organizations: CNN, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Iowa GOP, Granite State, New, New Jersey Gov, University of New, Dole, Democratic, Republican, Trump . Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Granite, New Jersey, University of New Hampshire, Hampshire, Granite State, Trump, South Carolina, Florida
Ambassador Nikki Haley failed last month to mention slavery as the root cause of the Civil War. “Let me be clear, for those who don’t seem to know: Slavery was the cause of the Civil War,” he said. Chris Christie, who suspended his campaign on Wednesday, referenced the Civil War with a word of caution to Republican voters. The last time they were that relevant was the Civil War — which we know was caused by slavery,” Christie said. The intra-party jabs echo a broader debate over the legacy of the Civil War for policymaking today.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, , , Jeff Kaufmann, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Kamala Harris, DeSantis, Kaufmann, Abraham Lincoln, Paul Peterson, Peterson, Haley, Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, , Chris Christie, Benjamin Franklin, Christie, ” “ Benjamin Franklin’s, ” Christie, Eric Foner, Geoff Kabaservice, Kabaservice, ” Foner, ____ Matt Brown Organizations: WASHINGTON, , Republicans, Florida Gov, GOP, Party of, Reconstruction, ” Iowa Republican, Republican, Mother Emanuel AME Church, Florida Republicans, Iowa GOP, Republican Party, Education, Harvard University, Democrats, Trump, Former New Jersey Gov, Columbia University, Niskanen, AP Locations: Florida, Party of Lincoln, Iowa, Charleston , South Carolina, Carolina, , America, American
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewIn less than three days, Iowa Republican voters will endure freezing temperatures to cast their nominations for the GOP's presidential candidate in the 2024 general election. "You get the feeling in Iowa right now that we're sleepwalking into a nightmare and there's nothing we can do about it," Doug Gross, a prominent GOP lawyer and backer of former UN ambassador Nikki Haley's presidential campaign, told the newspaper. Advertisement"In Iowa, life isn't lived in extremes, except the weather, and yet they still feel this dramatic sense of inevitable doom," he added. "The difference is just so stark in terms of American values and in terms of what is the future going to be," the former senator told The Times.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Joe Biden —, Doug Gross, Nikki Haley's, isn't, Former New Jersey Sen, Bill Bradley, Al Gore, Bradley, Richard Nixon, Hubert Humphrey Organizations: Service, Iowa Republican, Hawkeye State, Republican, The New York Times, Business, Trump, GOP, Capitol, Former New, Democratic, The Times, Democrat, Biden, Times Locations: Hawkeye, Iowa, Russian, Ukraine, Israel, Former New Jersey
Ron DeSantis, who is behind in Iowa, has received major endorsements in the state. Ron DeSantis has bet his political future on Iowa. The positive news came on the heels of Iowa Gov. ("Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley have partisans. No recent nominee has failed to win Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, or Nevada.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Kim Reynolds, Bob Vander Plaats, , Donald Trump's, DeSantis, Reynolds, Grassley, Trump, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Scott Olson, trashing Reynolds, Grant Wood, Ben Jacobs, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Barack Obama, Ron Brownstein, Cruz, Santorum, Huckabee, what's, Ricky Bobby, it's Organizations: Florida Gov, Iowa Gov, Trump, GOP, Service, Republican, CBS, Iowa State University, Iowa GOP, DeSantis, Getty, rockstar, Arkansas Gov, Iowa Republicans, Iowa, Hawkeye State Locations: Florida, Iowa, VFW, Texas, Pennsylvania, North Dakota, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, Hawkeye
The day Congress went back to fourth grade
  + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +12 min
The 118th Congress, which took an initial step to punt funding deadlines to the winter, looked more like a fourth grade class on a day that will further erode trust in government ahead of next year’s elections. Across Capitol Hill in the world’s so-called greatest deliberative body, Oklahoma Republican Sen. Markwayne Mullin was spoiling for a prize fight. Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell, however, suggested that policing the Capitol was beyond even his wily capacity to enforce discipline within his conference. And only in the malfunctioning Congress would a speaker try to prevent one government shutdown by laying the possible path for two others. Israel and Ukraine have nothing to thank Congress forThe most glaring example of Congress’ failure to fulfill its duty on Tuesday came at a pro-Israel demonstration on the National Mall.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, Xi Jinping, Kevin McCarthy –, , Tim Burchett, CNN’s Manu Raju, McCarthy, Oklahoma Republican Sen, Markwayne Mullin, Sean O’Brien, Mullin, O’Brien, ” Mullin, , ” O’Brien, Vermont Sen, Bernie Sanders, let’s, ” Sanders, , Jared Moskowitz, James Comer, Comer, leafing, Moskowitz couldn’t, Gargamel, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Georgia –, Darrell Issa, Alejandro Mayorkas, Greene, Donald Trump, ” McCarthy, Dakota Sen, John Thune –, Mitch McConnell, who’s, Mike Johnson’s, Johnson, ” Rep, Patrick McHenry, Tom Cole, Trump, Joe Biden, Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries, Iowa GOP Sen, Joni Ernst, Biden, Vladimir Putin, hasn’t, he’d, ” Connecticut Democratic Sen, Chris Murphy Organizations: CNN, 118th, Republican, GOP, Tennessean, Oklahoma Republican, International Brotherhood of Teamsters, Health, Education, Labor, Pensions, Sooner, Martial Arts, Democratic, Biden, Florida Democrat, Capitol, Georgia Republican, Homeland, Capitol ., Congressional, Senate Republican, Capitol Police, Kentucky Republican, Republicans, , CNBC, , Congress, House Democratic, Iowa GOP, Internal Revenue Service, Senate, White, ” Connecticut Democratic Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Washington, China, Oklahoma, Vermont, Florida, Kentucky, Georgia, California, Capitol . Congress, Dakota, Gaza, Iowa, “ Ukraine, ” Connecticut
COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — The Republican Party’s once-crowded 2024 presidential primary field has suddenly shrunk to just a handful of viable candidates. Instead, the fight between Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis for a distant second place appears to be intensifying. Political Cartoons View All 1244 Images“Now I’m hoping the field clears and it’s Nikki Haley one-on-one with the former president,” Druckenmillier told The Associated Press. Scott entered the 2024 campaign to much anticipation — especially in Iowa — as a close friend to Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst and a devoted evangelical Christian. And his modest share of support in late-summer Iowa polls shrunk by late fall as DeSantis and Haley appeared more viable.
Persons: Republican Party’s, Sen, Tim Scott of, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Iowa's Jan, Haley, Scott's, Stanley Druckenmillier, Scott, ” Druckenmillier, Andrew Romeo, Mike Pence, , DeSantis, Kim Reynolds, Tim Scott, ” Romeo, , Nikki Haley’s, Trump, Vivek Ramaswamy, Christie, Doug Burgum, Asa Hutchinson, they're, Pence, Privately, Ron DeSanctimonious, Nikki ‘ Birdbrain ’ Haley, , Tim, , ’ ”, Iowa Sen, Joni Ernst, Republican bundler Eric Levine, ” Levine, “ It’s Nikki, Devin O’Malley, Pence’s, He’s, ” O’Malley, ___, Beaumont Organizations: COLUMBIA, Republican, GOP, United Nations, Associated Press, Iowa Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, Christie . North Dakota Gov, Arkansas Gov, Trump, South, Fox News, AP, Iowa GOP, ___ Peoples Locations: Tim Scott of South Carolina, Scott's South Carolina, Florida, Iowa, Alabama, New Jersey, Christie ., New Hampshire, South Carolina, New York, Des Moines , Iowa
“Tim Scott is all in on Iowa,” Scott's campaign manager Jennifer DeCasper said in an emailed statement. Scott has already held more than 40 campaign events in Iowa, and blanketed the airwaves since entering the race in May. The total is more than for any other combined presidential campaign and supporting super PAC. Scott's campaign has purchased more television and digital ads in the state than any other candidate through their individual campaign. Never Back Down, the super PAC supporting DeSantis, has spent the most on advertising of any entity in Iowa.
Persons: Carolina Sen, Tim Scott's, Scott, “ Tim Scott, , Jennifer DeCasper, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis Organizations: DES, , Republican, Iowa, Christian, Florida Gov, PAC, Trust Locations: DES MOINES, Iowa, Carolina, New Hampshire, Des Moines, Florida
He’s getting over 60% in a number of national surveys of the GOP primary and holds the advantage in every early state that’s been polled. Take a look at CNN’s most recent survey of the state’s GOP primary conducted by the University of New Hampshire. The fact that Trump’s share of the New Hampshire primary vote remains flat is notable. In 2016, New Hampshire GOP primary voters were twice as likely to identify as moderates and independents than Iowa Republican caucusgoers. And keep this in mind: The winner of the Iowa GOP caucuses rarely wins the New Hampshire GOP primary.
Persons: Donald Trump, He’s, that’s, Trump, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, isn’t, Christie, Haley, Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, there’s, George W, Bush, Elizabeth Dole, John McCain, Dole, McCain, That’s, it’s Organizations: CNN, GOP, Trump, Granite State Republicans, University of New, South Carolina Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, Florida Gov, Fox, New Hampshire Republican, eventual, Republican Party, New Hampshire GOP, Iowa Republican caucusgoers, Iowa GOP, Republican Locations: New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, New Jersey, Florida, UNH’s, Iowa, South Carolina, Arizona, . New Hampshire
Also in the Senate, California’s Dianne Feinstein, 90, has been ill and displayed apparent cognitive decline in public in recent months. But given that Biden, McConnell and Feinstein are public officials, voters are entitled to a high level of transparency. Biden, for instance, would be 86 by the time his second term ends, which represents his biggest vulnerability in the 2024 election. Remarkably, in an age where major questions divide on party lines, 69% of Democrats shared that view. Should Biden, if he wins a second term, experience a similar moment to McConnell, questions about the continuity of US leadership would reverberate around the world and offer openings for US adversaries.
Persons: Mitch, , Joe Biden, Donald Trump, California’s Dianne Feinstein, Feinstein, , Strom Thurmond, Robert Byrd of, Biden, McConnell, Jonathan Reiner, CNN’s Erica Hill, , Reiner, Trump, Karine Jean, Pierre, CNN’s Jake Tapper, Tapper, Jean, Nikki Haley, – Trump, Haley, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Haley, Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, they’ve, Sen, Shelley Moore Capito, CNN’s Manu Raju, John Thune, McConnell “, Jim Banks, CNN’s Raju, Sprightly Iowa GOP Sen, Chuck Grassley, who’s Organizations: CNN, Kentucky Republican, Senate, George Washington University, United States Senate, Associated Press, White, White House, Former South Carolina Gov, GOP, Republicans, Biden, Fox News, Democratic, Supreme, Labor, West Virginia Republican, Republican, prudential, Indiana, Sprightly Iowa GOP, California Democrat, Capitol Locations: Kentucky, South Carolina, Robert Byrd of West Virginia, Rehoboth Beach , Delaware, Ukraine, Washington, Dakota, Sprightly Iowa, California, It’s
As his rivals prepare for the two-hour showdown on Fox News, Trump’s campaign is attempting to counter-program the debate. But Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr. and other surrogates planned to travel to Milwaukee, where they would have had opportunities to weigh in on national broadcasts before and after the debate in the spin room. Ahead of the debate, some candidates are offering previews of their lines of attack – including criticizing Trump for choosing not to participate. “Every one of us who have qualified for that debate stage ought to be on the stage willing to square off and answer those tough questions,” Pence said. Overall, 42% say Trump is their first choice, followed by 19% supporting DeSantis.
Persons: he’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Tucker Carlson, Carlson, Donald Trump Jr, Kari Lake, Byron Donalds, Matt Gaetz, Jason Miller, Steven Cheung, Chris LaCivita, Ron DeSantis, , ” DeSantis, DeSantis, DeSantis –, , “ We’ll, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, it’s, Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Haley, Russell Brand, Vivek —, ” Haley, , Christie, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Rubio, ” Christie, Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Mike Pence, ” Pence, Iowa GOP caucusgoers, Scott, Pence, Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, caucusgoers, Chris Sununu, Sununu, “ Trump Organizations: CNN, Republican, GOP, Fox News, Former Arizona, RNC, Trump, Florida Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, PAC, South, United Nations, Twitter, ABC, Des Moines Register, NBC, Iowa GOP, North Dakota Gov, Texas Rep, Selzer, New Hampshire Gov Locations: Milwaukee, Bedminster , New Jersey, Florida, Georgia, Fulton County, New Jersey, South Carolina, Israel, America, Miami, Tallahassee, Carolina, – Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Des, Iowa, By New Hampshire
The campaign trail will run as much through various court rooms as through the fabled rituals of an American election year. Furthermore, the events surrounding Trump’s denial of his 2020 election defeat have been in the public domain for years. But Trump’s team has already warned it may need up to three-and-a-half years to prepare his defense. His forceful opening gambit on the date suggests a strategy to ensure that any compromise date the judge arrives at will still be relatively early in 2024. The question of a trial date will likely wait for a subsequent hearing.
Persons: Jack Smith, Donald Trump, Smith, Prosecutors, Trump’s, Trump, , Elie Honig, Tim Parlatore, , ” Parlatore, Smith’s, Joe Biden’s, Tanya Chutkan, Chutkan, Ryan Goodman, Ron DeSantis, Aileen Cannon Organizations: CNN, Iowa GOP, Prosecutors, GOP, Trump, IOWA, Republican, Defense Department, White, Trump’s Republican, Florida Gov Locations: Washington, DC, Iowa, New Hampshire, Manhattan, Florida, Lago, Georgia, American
A recent New York Times survey found that the majority of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers prefer a candidate they agree with on issues over one who can beat Biden in 2024. The poll, which was taken between July 28 and August 1, found that 52 percent of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers were more likely to support a candidate they "agree with most on the issues" compared to the 44 percent who'd prefer one who has the "best chance to beat Joe Biden" in the 2024 election. The survey also asked participants if the phrase "able to beat Joe Biden" better described former President Donald Trump or DeSantis. Precisely half of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers said it described Trump "a lot" or "somewhat better" compared to 40 percent who said DeSantis. Results from the New York Times poll also showcase a potential strategy DeSantis can use to win over likely GOP caucusgoers: move even more to the right.
Persons: Biden, who's, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Iowa GOP caucusgoers, Trump, caucusgoers, DeSantis Organizations: New York Times, Iowa GOP, Trump, Biden, Service, DeSantis, Republican Party Locations: Iowa, Wall, Silicon, Florida
Ron DeSantis has a double-digit lead among Iowa college-educated Republicans in a hypothetical matchup with Trump. Ron DeSantis holds a double-digit lead over former President Donald Trump among college-educated Republicans in a hypothetical one-on-one match-up in Iowa. There simply aren't enough college-educated Republicans in Iowa. As Atlantic senior editor Ronald Brownstein previously pointed out, part of DeSantis' national struggle is that there are not enough college-educated Republicans still in the party. Among the larger field in Iowa, Trump holds a 40-point lead over DeSantis.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Trump, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Ronald Brownstein, Joe Biden, it's, Kim Reynolds, It's, Iowa caucusgoers Organizations: Florida Gov, Iowa, Republicans, Trump, GOP, Service, Gov, New York Times, Siena College, Iowa GOP, Atlantic, Republican, Iowa Gov, Iowa Republican, Times Locations: Florida, Iowa, Wall, Silicon, DeSantis, Siena, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina
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